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Tuesday, May 23rd 2006

Merck Looks Guilty

Why Merck looks guilty and juries can’t be trusted with technical cases from In The Pipleline.

The problem is, the data look as if they’re trending worse from a much earlier stage, and finally reach significance at the later time points. No lawyer in the world is going to walk away from that without driving it into the jury’s heads that the danger is plain to see, yes, right there from the beginning, and don’t talk to me about p-values when anyone can just look at this chart – your chart! – and see what’s really going on. . .etc. We live by statistical arguments in the drug industry, but the people who are being called to jury duty sure don’t.