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Friday, October 13th 2006

Back In The Driver's Seat

Yes, The BCS Is A Go Kart

Earlier I posted how Florida might overtake USC in the computers as the year progresses if both teams win out. That was based on the strength of schedule – which is a very fluid thing. But, in Tellshow’s most recent projection USC is supposed to have the toughest schedule in the nation by year’s end.

That might hold, seeing as the SEC is in disarray and Central Florida, Vandy, Florida State, West Carolina, and Georgia (nearly half of Florida’s schedule) continue to plumet meaning Florida’s SoS is likely to get worse.

Tellshow does have a very good point on his index page,

[T]he Arkansas upset of Auburn could have a hugh impact on the BCS. USC is #1 in 3 computers while UF is 3rd in most. In Colley’s ranking USC is 1st with a rating of .9657, OSU is 2nd at .9502, and UF is 3rd at .9488. Switching just the outcome of Ark-AU and OSU would be #1 in Colley at .951, UF #2 at .9489, and USC 3rd at .9469. It is not unreasonable to think that the other computers (except Billingsley) would be affect in the same way. It will be interesting to see how close it will be at the end of the season.

How frail the entire BCS system is.

This all may be moot – USC could lay an egg against Arizona State very easily if it isn’t on it’s toes.

What it does mean is that people need to give USC more respect and stop making claims like “Florida’s schedule is the toughest I’ve ever seen.” Not by numbers.