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Monday, January 22nd 2007

Newspaper Built On Oil & Gas Money Asks If Global Warming Is Crock…

Via Drudge we have a Houston Chronicle story asking if scientists have oversold global warming.

In their efforts to capture the public’s attention, then, have climate scientists oversold global warming? It’s probably not a majority view, but a few climate scientists are beginning to question whether some dire predictions push the science too far.

“Some of us are wondering if we have created a monster,” says Kevin Vranes, a climate scientist at the University of Colorado.

Vranes, who is not considered a global warming skeptic by his peers, came to this conclusion after attending an American Geophysical Union meeting last month. Vranes says he detected “tension” among scientists, notably because projections of the future climate carry uncertainties — a point that hasn’t been fully communicated to the public.

Ding ding ding ding! A point all “skeptics” love. I will not try to deny that I’ve said I don’t buy (of course, nor do I understand) all the evidence pointing to man’s contribution to rising temperatures.

Let me make it perfectly clear: I don’t doubt man has heated the earth; I question the total contribution.

But far more importantly than that, going along with my philosophy, I’ve questioned the bizarre, over the top, “end of the world” predictions given a voice by the media. How much will the earth heat up? What will be the consequences of such?

People can give any remotely accurate answers to these? Of course not. Pick your models, they’re all just crap shoots.

“The public generally underappreciates that climate models are not meant for reducing our uncertainty about future climate, which they really cannot, but rather they are for increasing our confidence that we understand the climate system in general,” says Michael Bauer, a climate modeler at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, in New York.


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